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Biodun@bbcnews.com
Saturday, 22 January 2011
Iran's nuclear negotiations have failed, so now what's next?
Topic: iran, nuclear weapons, bbc news

 

by Natalie de Vallieres and Nasra Ismail, BBC News, for the BBC's Biodun Iginla 

ISTANBUL – The collapse of another attempt at international outreach to Iran on Saturday has left world powers with few options except to wait — and hope that the bite of sanctions will persuade Tehran to reconsider its refusal to stop activities that could be harnessed to make nuclear weapons.

But their patience could be tested. While the U.S. and others say that Iran already is suffering from the wide range of financial and trade sanctions, travel bans and other penalties imposed by the U.N., the U.S., the EU and others, the Islamic Republic shows no sign of bending.

Uranium enrichment lies at the heart of the dispute.

Low-enriched uranium — at around 3.5 percent — can be used to fuel a reactor to generate electricity, which Iran says is the intention of its program. But if uranium is further enriched to around 90 percent purity, it can be used to develop a nuclear warhead.

Iran came to the Istanbul talks with six world powers Friday declaring it would not even consider freezing uranium enrichment — and left the negotiations Saturday repeating the same mantra. Throughout two days of hectic meetings, it stubbornly pushed demands it must have known were unacceptable to the six — a lifting of sanctions and acceptance of its enrichment program before any further discussion of its nuclear activities.

"Both these preconditions are not the way to proceed," EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton declared — and added no new talks were planned.

Publicly, the U.S. and others nations concerned that Iran could turn its enrichment program toward making fissile warhead material say that troubles with enrichment have slowed that activity and left more time to persuade Iran to heed international concerns than thought just a year ago.

Israeli officials now talk of a three-year window — until 2014 — before Iran can make a bomb. That compares with projections of 2011 just three years ago.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton told NBC's "Today" show earlier this week that the new Israeli estimates are "very significant." The delay, she said, "gives us more of a breathing space to try to work to prevent them from obtaining a nuclear weapon."

Two outside forces could account for any Iranian problems in enriching uranium — the increasing weight of U.N. and other sanctions meant to choke off raw materials needed to make and maintain the program, and the apparent havoc caused by the mysterious Stuxnet computer malware, which experts think was created by Israel or the U.S.

"Sanctions have had an impact. There are signs that Iran's nuclear program has slowed, so I think there is time and space for diplomacy," a senior U.S. administration official said after the Istanbul talks collapsed. He asked for anonymity in exchange for discussing the delicate issue.

While there is no talk for now of U.N Security Council new sanctions past a fourth set in June that target Iran's Revolutionary Guard, ballistic missiles and nuclear-related investments, there have been significant Western efforts to enforce present penalties.

Senior U.S. officials have been touring China, Japan, South Korea and the pro-western Arab nations to demand compliance with the U.N sanctions and the European Union, Canada, Australia and others have followed Washington's example in imposing their own restrictions on trade, financial transactions and other relations with Iran.

A diplomat from a delegations that met with Iran in Istanbul told the AP Saturday that EU outsiders Switzerland and Norway would formally adopt the EU sanctions next week. He asked for anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss the matter.

On the cyber front, Iran has acknowledged that Stuxnet hit "a limited number of centrifuges," saying its scientists discovered and neutralized the malware before it could cause any serious damage. The computer worm is assumed to have caused disruption of enrichment in November that temporarily crippled thousands of centrifuges at Natanz and experts say it could flare up again to do further damage.

Still there is no reason for complacency.

In a study shared this week with The Associated Press, the Federation of American Scientists notes impressive improvements in the performance of the Iranian machines that enrich uranium. The centrifuges are still underperforming but FAS says Iran last year appears to have increased their efficiency by 60 percent, giving it the technical capacity to produce enough material for a simple nuclear warhead in five months.

Few people think that Tehran is likely to provoke the world — and increase the likelihood of U.S. or Israeli attack — by kicking out International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors and re-calibrating its centrifuges to make such a device.

Manufacturing nuclear warhead material is only one step in making a weapon, and Olli Heinonen, who retired late last year as the IAEA deputy director general in charge of the agency's Iran file, calls the likelihood of such a "breakout scenario" a "suicidal mission" because of the likelihood of overwhelming international retribution.

Still, Iran seems determined to let nothing stop it from expanding enrichment, even starting a smaller program that is churning out material that can be turned into weapons-grade uranium much more quickly than its large stockpile of low-enriched uranium.

Neither "resolutions, sanctions, threats, computer virus nor even a military attack will stop uranium enrichment in Iran," Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Iran's envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency, declared as the talks began.

___


Posted by biginla at 5:42 PM GMT
Sunday, 9 January 2011
Iran passenger plane 'crashes' near Orumiyeh
Topic: iran, nuclear weapons, bbc news

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by Sunita Kureishi, BBC News, for the BBC's Biodun Iginla

 

An Iranian passenger plane with more than 100 people on board has crashed, Iranian media have reported.

The semi-official Fars news agency said of the 105 passengers and crew on board, at least 50 had survived.

The IranAir plane was flying from the capital Tehran when it came down near the north-western city of Orumiyeh - which was its final destination.

Reports said the plane had come down in bad weather, and snow was hampering rescue efforts.

The plane crashed near Orumiyeh, 700km (430 miles) north-west of Tehran, at around 1945 local time (1615 GMT), an official in West Azerbaijan province said, quoted on Iranian state television's website.

The official said the plane had taken off an hour later than scheduled, and came down because of bad weather conditions.

The head of Iran's emergency services, Gholam Reza Masoumi, said he had received no reports of deaths so far.

"The problem at the moment for rescue work is the heavy snow, which is around 70cm (27 inches) deep around the crash site," Mr Masoumi said, quoted by Fars news agency.

There have been a number of accidents involving Iranian planes over the last few years.

The last major crash was in July 2009, when a plane caught fire mid-air and crashed in northern Iran, killing 168 people.

In 2003 an Iranian troop carrier crashed in the southeast, killing all 276 soldiers and crew on board.

Iran's civil fleet is made up of planes in poor condition due to their old age and lack of maintenance.

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Posted by biginla at 8:03 PM GMT
Thursday, 6 January 2011
Iran detains American woman over 'spy device' in teeth
Topic: iran, nuclear weapons, bbc news

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by Nasra Ismail, BBC News Middle East Desk, for the 

BBC's Biodun Iginla

Iran has detained an American woman accused of hiding a spying device in her teeth, Iranian newspapers report.

Hall Talayan, 55, was held as she tried to cross the border from Armenia without a visa, the reports said.

She was reportedly arrested near the north-west border town of Nordouz. It is unclear where she is being held.

Iran arrested three American hikers in July 2009, accusing them of spying. One was later released on bail, but the other two remain in detention in Iran.

Their trial, due to start last November, was postponed as Sarah Shourd - who returned to the US after being freed on bail - had not been summoned to attend, Iranian officials said.

Washington has repeatedly said there is no basis for a trial and called on Tehran to free the two men still in custody, Shane Bauer and Josh Fattal.

The latest report, carried in the state-owned Farsi daily, Iran, said Ms Talayan had hidden "spying technology or a microphone" in her teeth.

According to another Farsi daily, Tabnak, she told customs officers that the security forces of Armenia would kill her if she was sent back by Iran.

The reports could not immediately be verified by officials.

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Posted by biginla at 3:19 PM GMT
Tuesday, 28 December 2010
Iran hangs man convicted of spying for Israel's Mossad
Topic: iran, nuclear weapons, bbc news
 
by Nasra Ismail, BBC News Middle East Desk, for the BBC's Biodun Iginla
Guard in Evin prison (file photo)The hanging took place at Tehran's Evin prison

Iran has hanged a man after finding him guilty of spying for Israel's intelligence service, the official Irna news agency says.

Ali Akbar Siadat, an Iranian, was executed inside Tehran's Evin prison, according to judicial officials.

Irna said he was in contact with the Israeli spy agency Mossad for several years, and had passed on information about Iran's military activities.

He was arrested in 2008, when he tried to leave Iran with his wife.

Siadat "confessed that he had transferred information to Mossad about Iran's military activities," Irna said, adding that he had "received $60,000 to give classified information to the Zionist regime".

He was accused of providing details about military bases, fighter jets, training flights, air crashes and missiles.

It was not clear from the Irna report if Saidat was a government employee, or how he obtained the information.

He allegedly met his contacts from the Israeli intelligence service during trips to Turkey, Thailand and the Netherlands.

Espionage is punishable by death under Iranian law.

In 2008 an Iranian telecoms engineer, Ali Ashtari, was hanged after being convicted of spying for Mossad.

Correspondents say Tehran routinely accuses Israel of conducting hostile activities against Iran, including espionage against its armed forces and its nuclear programme.

Opposition activist

Irna said a second man, Ali Saremi, was also hanged on Tuesday.

Saremi was alleged to be a member of the opposition group, People's Mujahideen Organisation of Iran (PMOI) - which Tehran says is a terrorist organisation.

He had been arrested several times since 1983.

The authorities say that when he was arrested for the final time in 2007, they found CDs, photos and hand-written documents about the PMOI in his house.

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Posted by biginla at 4:58 PM GMT
Monday, 29 November 2010
Iranian nuclear scientist killed in motorbike attack
Topic: iran, nuclear weapons, bbc news
Police stand close to a vehicle said to belong to nuclear scientist Fereydoon Abbasi who was injured along with his wife in an attack in TehranThe scientists were targeted in separate attacks on their way to work

by Nasra Ismail, BBC News Middle East Desk, for the BBC's Biodun Iginla

 

 

An Iranian nuclear scientist has been killed and another wounded in two separate but similar attacks in the capital, Tehran.

The scientists were targeted by men on motorbikes who attached bombs to the windows of their cars as they drove to work, officials said.

The scientist killed has been named as Majid Shahriari.

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has accused "Western governments" and Israel of being behind the killing.

Another scientist was killed in a bomb blast at the beginning of the year.

Dr Shahriari was a member of the nuclear engineering department of Shahid Beheshti University in Tehran. His wife is said to have been injured in the attack.

The nuclear scientist injured in the second attack was named as Fereydoon Abbasi. His wife was also wounded.

'Isotope specialist'

According to the conservative news website Mashregh News, Dr Abbasi is "one of the few specialists who can separate isotopes" - a process that is crucial in the manufacture of uranium fuel for nuclear power stations and is also required for the creation of uranium-based nuclear weapons.

Dr Abbasi has also been a member of the Revolutionary Guards since the 1979 revolution, the website said.

At a news conference, President Ahmadinejad accused Western powers and Israel of being behind the murder.

"One can undoubtedly see the hands of Israel and Western governments in the assassination which unfortunately took place," he said, without specifying which Western governments.

He said the assassination would not stop Iran from pursuing its nuclear programmes.

Earlier, state television reported a similar claim by Iran's Interior Minister, Mostafa Mohammad Najjar, who accused US and Israeli intelligence services of killing the scientist.

"Mossad and the CIA are the enemies of Iranians and always seek to hurt this nation. They particularly want to stop our scientific progress," he said.

The head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation, Ali Akbar Salehi, who went to visit the surviving scientist in hospital, said he had a message for the country's enemies: "Do not play with fire".

Controversial programme

The Iranian scientist killed in January this year, Masoud Ali Mohammadi, was said to be a nuclear scientist assassinated by counter-revolutionaries, Zionists and agents of the "global arrogance", Iranian media said at the time.

But scientists in the UK and the US said that, from his substantial body of published research, Dr Mohammadi was unlikely to have been working on Iran's nuclear programme, and that his expertise was in another field of physics altogether - quantum mechanics.

There has been much controversy over Iran's nuclear activities.

Tehran says its nuclear programme is for peaceful energy purposes, but the US and other Western nations suspect it of seeking to build nuclear weapons.

On Saturday, Iran said its first atomic power plant in the southern city of Bushehr had begun operations, ahead of a new round of talks with Western powers over the country's nuclear drive.

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Posted by biginla at 2:19 PM GMT

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